Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1130.140432 1273.872206 1430.601073 1614.468660 1824.616662 2057.712611 2336.410417
2026-02-01 910.724590 1106.253487 1337.584651 1632.673938 2000.812182 2447.163169 3032.711891
2026-02-08 786.327615 1003.723047 1275.317385 1641.954461 2127.631359 2754.007870 3631.200723
2026-02-15 701.352458 931.898771 1232.950179 1658.680465 2251.358306 3056.241357 4247.439131
2026-02-22 641.293624 882.049070 1208.688683 1689.695244 2389.195798 3383.612995 4929.867909
2026-03-01 571.612845 809.606451 1143.191642 1651.791775 2419.831404 3556.015104 5401.007323
2026-03-08 509.630471 740.758293 1074.206505 1598.587168 2417.681148 3673.706177 5795.352116
2026-03-15 458.087862 681.672990 1012.821584 1548.549344 2411.794468 3780.253692 6178.348010
2026-03-22 436.980209 665.917409 1014.151188 1594.041420 2558.729627 4141.343195 7022.643682
2026-03-29 412.707202 642.739917 1001.283255 1614.437692 2665.006248 4444.366914 7801.788549
2026-04-05 389.802129 619.514052 985.833385 1628.164877 2759.858138 4735.616970 8593.331703
2026-04-12 369.316880 598.332795 971.540709 1641.739279 2854.468375 5034.326355 9433.749129
2026-04-19 354.616718 586.134704 972.062064 1682.669978 3005.237062 5457.145435 10583.455517
2026-04-26 337.550934 568.582338 962.048733 1704.000690 3122.570121 5831.712095 11692.510078
2026-05-03 320.235370 549.062968 946.706577 1713.569829 3217.626155 6172.371983 12776.922536
2026-05-10 305.687347 533.200571 936.370673 1731.110052 3329.239098 6557.316719 14010.098665
2026-05-17 294.464980 522.384550 934.144431 1763.615913 3473.513348 7024.656653 15494.304611
2026-05-24 274.509321 493.975936 896.981676 1723.889688 3464.907263 7167.590222 16249.010062
2026-05-31 254.270932 463.594370 853.788991 1668.133545 3416.620558 7218.302544 16789.514868
2026-06-07 236.141336 435.985772 813.921908 1615.703846 3370.125256 7267.389312 17332.455807
2026-06-14 231.003264 433.041817 821.871432 1663.370189 3547.786886 7845.374048 19298.490517
2026-06-21 223.226698 424.348686 817.688997 1684.743331 3668.414095 8304.334867 21027.284656
2026-06-28 215.211821 414.608878 810.625329 1699.128674 3774.261062 8740.048346 22763.208409